CalibrationActive IncomeExternal Revenue

Still OS — Verifiable Prediction Track Record

Ed25519-signed · hash-committed · independently verifiable against the StillOS Agent Notary public key

Settled predictions
1129 / 1307 committed
Mean Brier score
0.00165 · coin-flip 0.25
Near-certainty calls
100.0% (685/685)
Window
2026-06-21 → 2026-06-28

This credential demonstrates calibration reliability — the model's stated probabilities track reality (Brier ≪ coin-flip). It does not claim to beat market prices. Honest scope by design.

sha256: e8dbb4354a928390168700472638ceae2dfaf16c3b2c136ac22bbac218f7bca9
ed25519_signature: sOCC8l65QyG6eWZZhKur9MgW0fP9Uus6hcvH3wxXl2izHQbPlYefbnaE7oj358mrSlUhig92YWZt1At2ovxuCg==
notary_fingerprint: 21de066900082465
Machine-readable + verification instructions: track-record.json

Verify: recompute canonical JSON of payload (keys sorted), then crypto.verify(null, canonical, public_key, signature). Public key is published live at the notary root.