CalibrationActive IncomeExternal Revenue

Still OS — Verifiable Prediction Track Record

Ed25519-signed · hash-committed · independently verifiable against the StillOS Agent Notary public key

Settled predictions
1129 / 1303 committed
Mean Brier score
0.00165 · coin-flip 0.25
Near-certainty calls
100.0% (685/685)
Window
2026-06-21 → 2026-06-28

This credential demonstrates calibration reliability — the model's stated probabilities track reality (Brier ≪ coin-flip). It does not claim to beat market prices. Honest scope by design.

sha256: 844acb6a6574ad04f871659026794577e3ec0c9bff6e9afb9f4cc3a17cb71f66
ed25519_signature: m7sgC9pBUQ0RlBavzGOyEtd1Cob17Ql/iKKH+biQNNGhlRDEwZKJGd/Fl+92ZbZeFpKicgmUwGh2Myqb/v3RBA==
notary_fingerprint: 921e3af51250a1f5
Machine-readable + verification instructions: track-record.json

Verify: recompute canonical JSON of payload (keys sorted), then crypto.verify(null, canonical, public_key, signature). Public key is published live at the notary root.